More interesting polling results from… Gallup
The positive impact of the GOP convention on polling indicators of Republican strength is further seen in the operation of Gallup’s “likely voter” model in this survey. Republicans, who are now much more enthused about the 2008 election than they were prior to the convention, show heightened interest in voting, and thus outscore Democrats in apparent likelihood to vote in November. As a result, Republican candidates now lead Democratic candidates among likely voters by 5 percentage points, 50% to 45%
As recently as one month ago, the conventional wisdom was that “this will be a Democrat year,” with increasing majorities in the House and Senate, and a climactic coronation of Obamessiah.
This is no longer a slam dunk. In fact, this polling data suggests just the opposite may be true.
Works for me.
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