The Next Few Days …


Monday, I saw this headline:

“The future of the Middle East, certainly the future of Lebanon may well be decided in the next several days,” U.S. envoy to the United Nations John Bolton told BBC radio.

Bolton is not a man given to hyperbole. To say that he is direct is probably an understatement. His assessment of the situation in Lebanon and the Middle East in general is significant: he understands that the Democrat majority will most likely not allow him an opportunity to continue in his present position. He has nothing to lose by speaking frankly.
Yesterday, I read this assessment a The Adventures of Chester:

The next few days may be decisive in Iraq. Things to look for are:

-a collapse of the national government
-a mass exodus from Baghdad (Westhawk’s post points to evidence that 150 Baghdad residents are entering Fallujah daily)
-de facto partition lines in the city (geography would indicate the Tigris, but you never know)
-the declaration of shadow or oppositional governments…

Chester isn’t given to hyperbole either.

Here is how Michael Freund at Jerusalem Post sees it:

Without realizing it, we are standing at a defining moment not just for the Bush presidency, but for the future of the entire Jewish people and the Western world itself.

Enormous pressure is being brought to bear on the president to embrace diplomacy as the means for resolving the various crises in the Middle East. In recent months, the president has come under harsh criticism for the conduct of the war in Iraq. The results of the midterm elections earlier this month gave control over both houses of Congress to the Democrats, who will surely push for a more conciliatory approach.

And as The New York Times reported on Monday, the bipartisan Iraq Study Group headed by former US secretary of state James Baker will recommend that Washington engage rogue states such as Iran and Syria and open a dialogue with them. In other words, it is sounding more and more like 1940 all over again.

The daily tally of treasure is enormous, as are the sacrifices being made by our military and their families. And even though the number of days in this struggle has now exceeded that of WWII, the future uncertainty and the increasing sense of impending conflict makes me believe that we are much closer to the beginning of this struggle than to the end.

15 Responses

  1. [...] Nuke has a list of things to look out for in the next few days. [...]

  2. I just have to gaze in amazement at the people that have seen the effect of diplomacy on North Korea, Iran, Saddam, Syria, the Palestinians, etc., that have been instrumental in pushing that diplomacy want to keep on trying it because maybe this time it will work. Pardon my scepticism. Sounds to me like going after more business on which you lose money because you will make it up in volume.

  3. hey nuke,

    this is really significant for us religious nutjobs who follow biblical prophecy.

  4. Techno_Barbarian over at Gulf Coast Pundit posted the link for this letter from that whackjob head Iranian.

  5. Sigh. Somebody should tell him that his target market isn’t religious, unless he’s trying to convince the Westboro “Baptist” “Church”.

    Perhaps Osama will not wish to feel left out and will also appeal to the religious left.

  6. And it makes me wonder how many illegitimate progeny Jimmy Carter actually has in that part of the world.

  7. the number of days in this struggle has now exceeded that of WWII

    I refuse to allow this comment to creep into the Iraq lexicon unchallenged. The actual war with Saddams regime in Iraq took twenty three days. Let me repeat…twenty three days. The actual war in Europe, with U.S. involvement coming after 7 Dec 41, took until May 45.
    Now, as to the rebuilding effort, and the democratization process, it has taken from Apr 2003 until now, and is ongoing. The rebuilding and democratization process in Germany took much longer, and we still have a strong military prescence there. The war with Japan lasted from Dec 41 until Aug 45, and took even longer to rebuild and democratize.
    The LameStream media started that absurd comment the other day, and I haven’t seen anyone in print, radio, or tv challenge this false assertion.
    Sure it fits perfectly into the defeatist mentality, that we need to cut and run, it’s hopeless…blah-blah-blah. The short war with Saddams regime, and those of Hitler and Hideki Tojo, don’t correlate at all, and neither does the amount of time it took, following each of the three previously mentioned regimes, to become stable functioning states. The fact that in Iraq there are many more outside influences disrupting the democratization and rebuilding, certainly doesn’t correlate to WWII.
    This misleading comment needs to be refuted each and every time it is mentioned.

  8. Ouch. Point taken.

  9. I don’t blame you, nuke. That comment was allowed to creep into the national dialogue, unchallenged a few days ago, and I believe it should have been countered sooner.
    The lies that AP, Reuters, and the LASlimes have been spreading are getting challenged, it’s time this s**ty notion was challenged as well.

  10. [...] No2Liberals weighs in on this with a few thoughts of his own. I refuse to allow this comment to creep into the Iraq lexicon unchallenged. The actual war with Saddams regime in Iraq took twenty three days. Let me repeat…twenty three days. The actual war in Europe, with U.S. involvement coming after 7 Dec 41, took until May 45. Now, as to the rebuilding effort, and the democratization process, it has taken from Apr 2003 until now, and is ongoing. The rebuilding and democratization process in Germany took much longer, and we still have a strong military prescence there. The war with Japan lasted from Dec 41 until Aug 45, and took even longer to rebuild and democratize. The LameStream media started that absurd comment the other day, and I haven’t seen anyone in print, radio, or tv challenge this false assertion. Sure it fits perfectly into the defeatist mentality, that we need to cut and run, it’s hopeless…blah-blah-blah. The short war with Saddams regime, and those of Hitler and Hideki Tojo, don’t correlate at all, and neither does the amount of time it took, following each of the three previously mentioned regimes, to become stable functioning states. The fact that in Iraq there are many more outside influences disrupting the democratization and rebuilding, certainly doesn’t correlate to WWII. This misleading comment needs to be refuted each and every time it is mentioned. [...]

  11. I jumped on that one phrase in nuke’s post, but there are some other things in this thread I should address.
    As for the ISG, and the breathless anticipation by the LameStream media for it’s release…I’m not as excited about it. The more I find out about James Baker and how he has treated Israel in the past, I must agree with many I’ve heard and read recently, that Baker has and is still willing to throw Israel in front of the train.
    If this report even intimates we should negotiate with Iran and Syria, I will stand opposed to it, and voice my opinions loudly. The starting point for any negotiations with Iran by the White House, has been, and should remain Iran’s halting any further development of their nuclear program, and allow unfettered access to verify what they have done. Then, and only then, after we know where Iran is in their nuclear program, we can decide where to start with negotiations. If this ISG is strictly a subterfuge for determining who to give the keys to Iraq, if cut and run is the plan, I will lose all faith in the current administration. When we abandoned the South Vietnamese, we knew who to give the keys to, as our negotiations were always with the communist leaders in North Vietnam. If the administration is even considering giving the keys to Iran, then there are many more steps that will need to be taken, beyond bringing our troops home. Let me list a few:
    1)We would need to go ahead and close all military bases that are not on U.S. soil, and bring those troops home.
    2)Seal our borders completely, to include our coast lines and ports.
    3)Do whatever is needed to guarantee energy independence.
    4)Halt all immigration.
    5)Deport all muslims that are not citizens.
    6)Dissolve the longshoremen at our ports, and have the military or other government agency take over that task.
    We will need to do the above, along with some other actions that escape me at the moment, if Iran is given carte blanche in Iraq, as we will have lost the first round of WWIV to Islam, and will need to prepare fortress America for the coming invasion. If we abandon Iraq to these forces of evil, we are doomed, but will have a little time to prepare for the onslaught, as the haji’s will first settle matters in Europa first.
    I’m slightly encouraged that this won’t happen, by the UN’s recognition of Iraq’s request to keep the MNF there longer, but all bets are off if the ISG suggests negotiations with Iran, and the President takes their advice.

  12. RT has posted Fred Barnes’ article about new SecDef Gates.
    Bottom line, he ain’t no Scowcroft.
    I was gonna jump over there and grab the link, but Google is acting crazy, and I stay away from them when they act crazy.

  13. Nope, google is still hinky.

  14. While I’m reading RT, here is a post with links you might find interesting…I did.
    Bakers Folly

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